The Thinking Effect · Mike Vaughan

What would change your mind?

A good answer gets the work done. Learning should also change how you think.

Practice a decision, explain the trade-off, then use the evidence to guide growth and readiness.

A short exercise. No sign-up. Your thinking stays with you.

01 / THINKINGFor Learning & Development

Developing higher cognitive skills

How do you build capability?

Higher cognitive skills are not built by content. They are built by practice, by feedback specific enough to change the next attempt, and by reflection.

Just-in-time help can solve today’s problem. But if it supplies the interpretation, the options, and the choice, the person never practices those moves. Leave a real decision for them to make.

Give the learner a decision to make →
02 / EFFECTFor HR & Talent

Evidence of readiness

How do you know someone has it?

Judgment does not show up on a multiple choice test. It has to be observed in performance, under conditions complex enough to require the skill.

That evidence should tell the person what to practice next. It should help the organization judge readiness for a specific role, task, or initiative, while making clear what has not yet been demonstrated.

Explore evidence for HR & Talent →

Every organization says it wants critical thinkers, problem solvers, and people who use AI effectively

The skills that matter most are the ones the standard assessment stack cannot see. This is an instrumentation problem, and it is solvable.

AI-Ready Leader

The model

Each turn changes what the next turn can reach

Thinking develops through repeated practice. We notice a situation, interpret it, decide, act, and see what follows. Each round of feedback can change how we approach the next one.

Mental models shape what we notice and how we respond. Practice and feedback can refine those models, giving future decisions more to draw on.

The Thinking EffectA widening coil seen almost edge on. Seven stages repeat on every turn: mental models, thinking, decisions, actions, outcomes, evidence, and feedback. The widening shape illustrates repeated opportunities to learn, not measured growth or constant effort. Mental models is marked three times down the left edge of the coil, and those three points fall on a straight line.1234567

Choose a stage to see what it contributes to the next decision.

The measurement gap

Why organizations struggle to identify critical thinkers

It's time for a shift in what is measured.

What organizations commonly track

Easy to count and report.

  • Completionmeasured
  • Knowledgemeasured
  • Attendancemeasured
  • Confidencemeasured
  • Test scoresmeasured

What complex work calls for

Rarely captured in routine learning data.

  • Judgmenthard to observe
  • Decision qualityhard to observe
  • Reasoninghard to observe
  • Problem solvinghard to observe
  • Adaptabilityhard to observe
  • Collaborationhard to observe

Completion, attendance, confidence, and quiz scores can answer useful questions. They cannot show how someone weighs conflicting evidence, adapts when conditions change, or makes a sound decision. To understand those skills, observe people doing work that calls for them.

Bar lengths are illustrative, not survey data.

Ideas to put to work

Use these to decide what to teach, what people need to practice, and how widely that practice can reach.

Bring a real problem

What does your learning need to change?

A role people are struggling with. A decision that keeps going wrong. A capability you need to see before giving someone more responsibility. Start there.

Talk with Mike

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